Thursday, July 06, 2006

What's Been Going On

Sorry for the delay. Even as much of a junkie as I has to take a break from time to time.

So let’s get caught up.

GOVERNOR: Der Arnold and Phil have been trying to “out backwards” each other, running ads with vastly different sized buys claiming each are trying to take the state back to the stone age.

Arnold’s ads seem to be working, though we’re still very early and Phil (and his union buddies) have yet to engage.

We’ll see what happens.

Arnold seems wholly uninterested in being a Republican. With his primary campaign issues being the environment and massive spending increases, voters could easily confuse Arnold with just about any of the Democrats in Sacramento.

Why the Republicans are still going along? Who knows…

CONTROLLER: The CRP sent out a release announcing a poll by the ever-respected Public Opinion Strategies showing Tony being up on Chiang by 8 among likely voters.

My question is: HOW?

I don’t buy that Tony has enough name id to warrant that, after all, he struggled to beat Maldonado.

And I don’t buy that voters are just that naturally inclined to put a Republican in this seat, as McClintock fell short 4 years ago to capture it.

First, we have to ask how the poll was conducted – despite someone like Kinney having conducted it. Did they just use Ballot Designations? Did they include Party ID?

But as this campaign plays out, no doubt Chiang will have more money to fund the race, but as he’s one of the naïve politicians who refuses to go negative, Strickland may have a chance to tell voters of the sure-to-exist hundreds of examples of Chiang siding against taxpayers as a member of the BOE. Question is, can Tony find the money to get that message out…

JESSICA’S LAW: CRP also did polling showing it WAY up. Despite asking both POS and Mike Vallante at the CRP for any toplines or anything, nothing has come our way to report on the particulars of the survey.

CRP POLLING: So they released results for Controller and JLaw. Does that mean the others are struggling? Why release JUST THOSE TWO results???

Is McClintock down? How bad do they have Pooch? What about Eminent Domain? Parental Notification?

AG: Chuck’s ad is fantastic and no doubt just the start of things to come. With $3 million, and no shortage of things to hit Moonbeam on, its good to see Khachigian and Co reminding voters just who Jerry is, before Jerry can paint Pooch as a troglodyte.

I just wonder what more they have in store.


At 7/07/2006 2:36 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

RE: John Chiang. What makes you believe that he will not go negative on Strickland? When Tony is such a tempting target? Has Chiang's consultant, Skelton, ever shown an unwillingness to go to the stick?

No, Strickland is in for a very unpleasant few months.

At 7/07/2006 3:36 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

That has been Chiang's longstanding position as I understand it... consultant notwithstanding.

At 7/10/2006 2:32 PM, Blogger NickM said...

IEs will go negative on Tony to help Chiang.

The reciprocal campaign jobs between Tony and Audra, while not illegal, are poison to voters.



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