Tuesday, April 11, 2006

2 Cookie Cutter Campaigns = 2 Loses?

1. Diane Harkey 35th State Senate


2. Brian Bilbray 50th Congressional

Am I jumping the gun?

10 Comments:

At 4/12/2006 12:39 AM, Blogger Johnny Slash said...

Night Of The Living Squishes!

 
At 4/12/2006 8:17 AM, Anonymous Battle Fatigue said...

Reeps fed up with OC suicide bomber political campaigns.

When in doubt - reeps vote for the "incumbent" and run away from the new guy with the bombs strapped to his body.

 
At 4/12/2006 1:44 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Looks like you went 1-1. Bilbray wins, Harkey loses.

 
At 4/13/2006 4:45 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Bilbray was outspend 5 to 1 by Roach and still won.

 
At 4/13/2006 11:32 PM, Anonymous LOL said...

Yeah, and there were 4 conservatives that split the vote against your liberal.

Don't start patting yourself on the back Gilliard.

 
At 4/14/2006 7:42 AM, Anonymous remember reality? said...

Everyone seems to forget that there were also 4 mod's: Billbray, Uke, Earnest, and Hauf.

This one wasn't lost because the conservatives split the vote. It was lost because the truth about Bilbray didn't come out until far too late in the campaign.

 
At 4/14/2006 9:01 AM, Anonymous Nice Spin said...

Uke ran as a conservative and not as a mod.

Earnest who? Hauf? Look at the numbers compared to Morrow and Kaloogian.

Bilbray barely won because of the conservative split. If it was a head to head match up like the 35th State Senate, knowing what I know about how that campaign was run, Bilbray would have lost.

 
At 4/14/2006 2:18 PM, Anonymous remember reality? said...

The low numbers for the other mod's indicate Bilbray's succees at unifying the moderate vote, not a lack of moderate contenders. Check out the $$ spent by the 4 mod's versus by the 4 conservatives and you'll see the 4 mod's ran major campaigns.

I'm no Bilbray supporter (I think he and Kaloogian were the only two Rep's who actually put this seat at risk of a Dem win), but it's clear this election was split every which way -- Bilbray just did a better job collecting and holding moderate supporters than any one conservative was able to do.

 
At 4/15/2006 1:12 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Uke ran as a conservative and not as a mod."

Your incorrect. He put he was pro-choice in a mailer I got and was endorsed by liberal county supervisor Pam Slater Price

 
At 4/15/2006 5:07 PM, Anonymous Uke said...

Uke did a hit on Roach. Bilbray got lucky with the types of opponents he drew.

If it was a head to head between Bilbray and Roach, we would have a different story like the one we had with Harkey vs. Harman.

 

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