Thursday, January 26, 2006

Orange County Intrigue in SD 34

Rumors are circulating that Van Tran has been offered a deal by Ackerman: Drop out of the Senate Primary against Lyn Daucher and run for Supervisor with GOP support when Daucher loses to Lou Correa!

That Ackerman would even offer such a deal is testimony to his own self-destructive stubbornness.

The big question now for Tran is, should he take Ackerman up on the offer? With Lou Correa in the race, it appears the Democrats will have a strong candidate. Daucher almost surely loses to Correa and Tran would probably lose as well if Ackerman follows through on his threat to not fund the race if Van wins the nomination.

Of course, Tran will be pressured to stay in the race by supporters of Jim Righeimer, the GOP activist who covets Tran's Assembly seat. But Van needs to ask himself, do these folks really have his best interests in mind, or are they just pimping for Righeimer.

Another part of the intrigue: Are Righeimer's backers trying to force Tran, should he leave his Assembly seat, to abandon fellow up and coming GOP star Janet Nyguen in favor of Righeimer. Van is partially dependent on help from monied conservative forces that are close to Righeimer.

After all this shakes out, will Ackerman and the GOP grassroots make up? Probably not. Ackerman's actions in regards to the 34th, along with his meddling against conservative Supervisor Chris Norby, have marked him as a sell-out in OC conservative circles.

12 Comments:

At 1/26/2006 1:16 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ackerman will lose his leadership before he doesn't fund Tran in the general. The county party will also fund Tran's race.

 
At 1/26/2006 1:31 PM, Anonymous Van Tran Laughed said...

Van Tran laughed his ass off when he "heard" the deal.

Why would he run for Supervisor if he can run for Assembly again.

The numbers in the 34th looks too good for Van. He is running.

 
At 1/27/2006 8:06 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Supervisors don't have term limits. Beyond that, Tran knows that Ackerman can blow him out of the water. Speaking of water, Bruce Broadwater will run again for Supervisor and win the seat, the offer is just a way for Tran to bow out gracefully.

 
At 1/27/2006 8:14 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Obviously, you don't know what you are talking about.

There are two term limits for Supervisor.

If Ackerman spends money in the primary against Tran, he will be political toast.

 
At 1/27/2006 11:17 AM, Blogger NickM said...

That deal makes no sense.

If Daucher is that sure of a loser, why would Ackerman want her to be the candidate?

Also, even if Tran loses to Correa, Tran is well positioned to run for the open Supervisor seat - he will have almost complete name ID among likely voters when the race starts.

Nick

 
At 1/28/2006 11:15 AM, Anonymous oc gop gal said...

Righeimer is falling far behind as well. Janet Nguyen is close to $200K in the bank.

Maybe Righeimer or Nguyen will consider Correa's Supe seat instead?

 
At 1/28/2006 4:46 PM, Anonymous Let the Adults Play said...

OC GOP Gal:

Please Stop. You make Janet look bad.

If Janet raises a total of $300K for her entire campaign, I would be very impressed. She shouldn't waste that money and fight another day.

The problem is, Righeimer will start out with $300K and the ability to raise $300K more. If he has to, he can tap more of his personal wealth.

If Van loses to Correa in the General, it will be Van that would be looking into the Supervisor seat and not Rig or Jan.

 
At 1/28/2006 5:19 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

if Jim Rig has so much money why didn't he pay off his campaign debt yet especially to Gillard and Monaco? why doesn't pay off all his liens federal, county and state liens; especially county Orange county does have a budget issue? why didn't he run last time? so many questions Jim. Also if he is so rich as everyone is saying why does he live in fountain valley and not Newport Coast with all the other multi multi millionares?

 
At 1/29/2006 7:52 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I agree with the above comment.

Righeimer and Diane Harkey shouldn't run.

 
At 1/30/2006 9:45 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is the first of many rumors, plots and plans Ackerman has in store of us for the next few weeks.

 
At 1/31/2006 6:47 AM, Anonymous Bankruptcy Attorney said...

Jim Righeimer is property rich but cash poor. Rumor is he will be taking out second and third mortgages on property he owns to finance his campaign.

And if he does, he will likely be calling me soon ...

 
At 1/31/2006 7:45 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

That is a good rumor to keep going if Janet stays in the race....She'll never see it coming.

 

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