Tuesday, January 03, 2006

Dave Gilliard Picks 6 for '06

Kudos to Dave for making some fairly provocative picks!

1)Steve Westly comes from behind to win the Democrat nomination for Governor after a vicious personal attack by Phil Angelides backfires.

2)A prominent Democrat consultant will take over Schwarzenegger’s political operation before the end of summer.

3)The Illegal immigration issue will fracture the state GOP, with the Chamber of Commerce wing and the Grassroots in an all-out war before the end of the year.

4)Both the Assembly and Senate GOP caucus see leadership fights, with at least one new leader before the end of session.

5)There will be one surprise retirement from the Congressional delegation and one incumbent will lose.

6)Bruce McPhereson is the only Republican elected statewide in 2006.

12 Comments:

At 1/03/2006 10:31 AM, Anonymous Flounder said...

Dave's picks are so nice and cheery. Did he get coal in his stocking or something?

 
At 1/03/2006 12:51 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Surprise retirement is McKeon, losing incumbent is Dreier.

 
At 1/03/2006 1:47 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

McKeon isn't going anywhere, he's getting his Chairmanship.
Dream on about Dreier.

 
At 1/03/2006 2:02 PM, Blogger Pete St. John said...

My guess is the retirement is Doolittle. He's got Abrahmoff's plea hanging all around his neck.

 
At 1/03/2006 3:41 PM, Blogger OAFFER said...

Perhaps the surprise retirement is Rep. Bill Thomas? Will he be term limited on his committee chairmanship? If so, this could be the one.

 
At 1/03/2006 3:58 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

McKeon is 68 and doesn't care about the chairmanship, he just wants to spend time with his grandkids. Dreier is the only incumbent who is in real danger of losing his seat unless there is a primary challenge. Doolittle is going nowhere. Unlike McKeon, he loves politics. Ditto for Thomas. But besides that, Thomas has been mentioned as possibly leaving to become a lobbyist so often that it doesn't qualify as a surprise. However, that would explain Dave's comments about the leadership fights in both houses of the legislature since McCarthy will not serve if he is running for Congress. Maybe Chuck Devore for Minority Leader?

 
At 1/03/2006 4:08 PM, Anonymous Ridiculous said...

Buck isn't going anywhere. He's been waiting for that chairmanship.

 
At 1/04/2006 7:38 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You have to assume that the retiree is a Republican because otherwise how would Dave know? I say McKeon because he is the oldest, he has been mentioned as possibly hanging it up and Thomas has been lobbying to get an extension on his chairmanship, so I am sure he is not leaving now. But it's all just a guess. If not Thomas, who else would you think is a possibility?

 
At 1/04/2006 11:34 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I am surprised that Dave would publicly predict that Arnold and every other Republican except McPherson is going to lose their statewide campaign this year. I guess that mean insiders think the party is in even worse shape than grassroots volunteers do.

 
At 1/04/2006 11:54 AM, Anonymous HA said...

The only type of "Insider" Dave has been is as it relates to Krispy Kremes.

 
At 1/04/2006 12:35 PM, Blogger NickM said...

One possible surprise retirement would be Dan Lungren, to take either a high-level Administration position or a federal judgeship.

If it's a true retirement, my guess would be Herger rather than McKeon.

Nick

 
At 1/04/2006 1:55 PM, Anonymous Placer GOP'er said...

Lungren isn't going anywhere.

 

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