Wednesday, December 28, 2005

Flash's Top 6 for '06

I sent out requests to over one hundred of California's top politicos seeking some fun feedback. As we're approaching the New Year, I sought out to find 6 predictions, insights, analyses, observations, bets, or calls for things to expect in the coming year.

Always on top of things, Flashreport leader Jon Fleischman was the first to respond...

1) Major political donors, outraged by the amount of their money going into the pockets of consultants, will tie their donations to assurance that the money will go to voter contact, not to the vacation homes of well-connected insiders.

2) The California State Supreme Court will throw out Proposition 22, making gay-marriage a huge issue going into the November elections.

3) Proposals for massive borrowing for infrastructure will create havoc in the Grand Old Party as Republican voters feel that they are already sending enough $ to Sacramento to finance infrastructure investment (which they are) - the Governor will have troubled explaining why this borrowing is okay, given his rhetoric in the special election.

4) All of the major papers will be forced by blog such as this one, and the FlashReport, to create their own online blogs, with all of their political reporters participating. The news cycle will become instantaneous as more and more stories are 'scooped' by amateurs.

5) Retired State Senator Dick Mountjoy will enter the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, following shortly by Minuteman Founder Jim Gilchrist who will re-register from AIP to Republican. Suddenly, there will be a battle between the mainstream conservative movement (represented by Mountjoy) and the gadfly-nutty anti-immigration movement (represented by Gilchrist). While neither is likely to take out the Senator, this primary will have major impact on the GOP nationally.

6) Republicans in Congress will continue to lose popular support as the handful of moderate GOPers keep their majority from achieving any meaningful reductions in federal spending. This will lead to internal battles as significant efforts are launched by Republicans to 'take out' some of the moderates in their primary elections.

(For others wishing to opine, please email your responses. -PSJ)


At 12/28/2005 8:14 PM, Anonymous Jon Fleischman said...

I hope that a lot of insightful predictions come in. I certainly tried to have fun with mine.

At 12/28/2005 9:37 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm glad Jon is so optimistic

At 1/04/2006 3:52 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

John is correct on number 1.

At 1/04/2006 9:43 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

these predictions are crazy and I dont buy in to them.
I trust John 100 percent

At 3/09/2006 3:58 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

People will remember John F. as being rated "unqualified" by the management firm that reviewed his appointment as ED of the California Republican Party


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